January 20, 2018

Better bets


The point of any kind of forecast is to make you think about what’s going to happen and to improve your thinking for next time too.

To think – any time you force yourself to write down predictions based on uncertainty you’re also forcing your creative processes into action as you work scenarios, play what-ifs and imagine how the future will play out. The simple act of filling in a timeline or a spreadsheet highlights connections, exposes dependencies and shows exactly where you’re resource will get squeezed. Filling in the blanks make you think more clearly than the fuzzy balls you had spinning before.

To improve your thinking – when you have the forecast … use it; map reality against the plan and you’ll see what you understood and where you missed.

And that’s how you’ll make better bets next time.

Skippy strategy: Learn to forecast, next time might be critical.